Streak
Win/loss streak signal blended with Elo.
All-time accuracy
64.6%
184 / 285 settled
Last 50
60.0%
sliding window
Last 10
50.0%
most recent
Brier score
0.228
lower = better (0.25 = coin flip)
Log-loss
0.647
lower = better
Simulated bankroll
If you'd staked $10 on every prediction at fair odds (1/probability, no bookie vig), your P&L would be +$364.91 across 414 bets. ROI = +8.81%.
Calibration by confidence
When the model says 80%, is it actually right 80% of the time? Well-calibrated models have accuracy that matches confidence range.
| Confidence range | Picks | Accuracy | Calibration |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60% | 121 | 60.3% (73/121) | |
| 60–70% | 112 | 62.5% (70/112) | |
| 70–80% | 49 | 79.6% (39/49) | |
| 80–90% | 3 | 66.7% (2/3) | |
| 90–101% | 0 | — |
Upcoming picks
| When | Match | This model picks | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| IW vs TSpirit | IW 51% | 0.85 | |
| VSN vs BB | VSN 70% | 0.17 | |
| Liquid vs TY | TY 54% | 0.85 | |
| NGX vs FLCN | NGX 60% | 0.85 | |
| Resilience vs GL | Resilience 65% | 0.79 | |
| OG vs XG | OG 60% | 0.85 | |
| Nova Pulse vs LSG | Nova Pulse 55% | 0.85 | |
| Resilience vs GL | Resilience 65% | 0.79 | |
| OG vs XG | OG 60% | 0.85 |
Recent picks (60)
| When | Match | Pick | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17 | Vitality Wa… vs FLYING FORT… | Vitality Warriors 64% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | IW vs TSpirit | IW 51% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | VSN vs BB | VSN 70% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | Liquid vs TY | TY 54% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | NGX vs FLCN | NGX 60% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | Resilience vs GL | Resilience 65% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | OG vs XG | OG 60% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | Nova Pulse vs LSG | Nova Pulse 55% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | Resilience vs GL | Resilience 65% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | OG vs XG | OG 60% | pending | — |
| Aug 16 | LGD vs TY | TY 69% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | LGD vs TY | TY 65% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | TY vs LGD | TY 59% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | TSpirit vs Resilience | Resilience 54% | TSpirit | ✗ miss |
| Aug 16 | IW vs GL | IW 61% | IW | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | LGD vs TY | TY 55% | LGD | ✗ miss |
| Aug 16 | GL vs IW | GL 52% | IW | coin-flip |
| Aug 16 | Resilience vs TSpirit | Resilience 50% | TSpirit | coin-flip |
| Aug 16 | FLCN vs VG | FLCN 69% | FLCN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | Aurora vs BB | Aurora 53% | BB | ✗ miss |
| Aug 16 | GL vs IW | GL 61% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 16 | Resilience vs TSpirit | TSpirit 59% | Resilience | ✗ miss |
| Aug 16 | Aurora vs BB | BB 52% | BB | coin-flip |
| Aug 16 | TSpirit vs Resilience | TSpirit 51% | TSpirit | coin-flip |
| Aug 16 | FLCN vs VG | FLCN 66% | FLCN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | BB vs Aurora | BB 53% | BB | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | VG vs FLCN | FLCN 56% | FLCN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | TY vs IW | TY 75% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | Aurora vs Liquid | Aurora 51% | Liquid | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | NGX vs TSpirit | NGX 70% | NGX | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | NGX vs TSpirit | NGX 66% | NGX | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Resilience vs GL | Resilience 63% | pending | — |
| Aug 15 | OG vs XG | OG 60% | pending | — |
| Aug 15 | FLCN vs BB | BB 54% | FLCN | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | NGX vs TSpirit | NGX 66% | NGX | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Liquid vs Aurora | Aurora 55% | Aurora | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | IW vs TY | TY 74% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | Liquid vs Aurora | Liquid 55% | Aurora | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | FLCN vs BB | FLCN 60% | BB | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | Aurora vs Liquid | Aurora 52% | Aurora | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | TY vs IW | TY 79% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | BB vs FLCN | BB 54% | FLCN | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | FLCN vs BB | FLCN 56% | FLCN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | LGD vs VG | LGD 54% | LGD | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | XG vs Resilience | Resilience 58% | Resilience | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | OG vs GL | OG 57% | GL | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | Resilience vs XG | Resilience 72% | Resilience | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | VG vs LGD | VG 54% | LGD | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | GL vs OG | GL 51% | GL | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | Resilience vs XG | Resilience 54% | Resilience | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Liquid vs IW | Liquid 71% | Liquid | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Aurora vs BB | Aurora 61% | Aurora | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | VSN vs TSpirit | VSN 65% | VSN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | BB vs Aurora | Aurora 53% | Aurora | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | BB vs Aurora | BB 58% | Aurora | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | TSpirit vs VSN | VSN 58% | VSN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | BB vs Aurora | BB 52% | Aurora | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | Liquid vs IW | Liquid 69% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | VG vs NGX | NGX 50% | NGX | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | FLCN vs GL | FLCN 53% | FLCN | ✓ HIT |