SOS
Strength of schedule: form weighted by opponent quality.
All-time accuracy
58.2%
163 / 280 settled
Last 50
50.0%
sliding window
Last 10
30.0%
most recent
Brier score
0.247
lower = better (0.25 = coin flip)
Log-loss
0.815
lower = better
Simulated bankroll
If you'd staked $10 on every prediction at fair odds (1/probability, no bookie vig), your P&L would be +$108.73 across 406 bets. ROI = +2.68%.
Calibration by confidence
When the model says 80%, is it actually right 80% of the time? Well-calibrated models have accuracy that matches confidence range.
| Confidence range | Picks | Accuracy | Calibration |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60% | 137 | 54.7% (75/137) | |
| 60–70% | 93 | 58.1% (54/93) | |
| 70–80% | 35 | 68.6% (24/35) | |
| 80–90% | 4 | 50.0% (2/4) | |
| 90–101% | 11 | 72.7% (8/11) |
Upcoming picks
| When | Match | This model picks | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| IW vs TSpirit | IW 64% | 1.00 | |
| VSN vs BB | VSN 54% | 0.73 | |
| Liquid vs TY | Liquid 55% | 1.00 | |
| NGX vs FLCN | NGX 50% | 1.00 | |
| Resilience vs GL | Resilience 60% | 1.00 | |
| OG vs XG | XG 50% | 1.00 | |
| Nova Pulse vs LSG | LSG 54% | 1.00 | |
| Resilience vs GL | Resilience 60% | 1.00 | |
| OG vs XG | XG 50% | 1.00 |
Recent picks (60)
| When | Match | Pick | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17 | Vitality Wa… vs FLYING FORT… | Vitality Warriors 62% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | IW vs TSpirit | IW 64% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | VSN vs BB | VSN 54% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | Liquid vs TY | Liquid 55% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | NGX vs FLCN | NGX 50% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | Resilience vs GL | Resilience 60% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | OG vs XG | XG 50% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | Nova Pulse vs LSG | LSG 54% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | Resilience vs GL | Resilience 60% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | OG vs XG | XG 50% | pending | — |
| Aug 16 | LGD vs TY | LGD 57% | TY | ✗ miss |
| Aug 16 | LGD vs TY | LGD 57% | TY | ✗ miss |
| Aug 16 | TY vs LGD | LGD 57% | TY | ✗ miss |
| Aug 16 | TSpirit vs Resilience | Resilience 65% | TSpirit | ✗ miss |
| Aug 16 | IW vs GL | IW 56% | IW | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | LGD vs TY | LGD 53% | LGD | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | GL vs IW | IW 51% | IW | coin-flip |
| Aug 16 | Resilience vs TSpirit | Resilience 57% | TSpirit | ✗ miss |
| Aug 16 | FLCN vs VG | FLCN 72% | FLCN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | Aurora vs BB | Aurora 51% | BB | coin-flip |
| Aug 16 | GL vs IW | GL 54% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 16 | Resilience vs TSpirit | Resilience 52% | Resilience | coin-flip |
| Aug 16 | Aurora vs BB | Aurora 65% | BB | ✗ miss |
| Aug 16 | TSpirit vs Resilience | Resilience 54% | TSpirit | ✗ miss |
| Aug 16 | FLCN vs VG | FLCN 68% | FLCN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | BB vs Aurora | Aurora 64% | BB | ✗ miss |
| Aug 16 | VG vs FLCN | FLCN 69% | FLCN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | TY vs IW | IW 58% | IW | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Aurora vs Liquid | Aurora 59% | Liquid | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | NGX vs TSpirit | NGX 55% | NGX | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | NGX vs TSpirit | TSpirit 50% | NGX | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | Resilience vs GL | Resilience 52% | pending | — |
| Aug 15 | OG vs XG | XG 50% | pending | — |
| Aug 15 | FLCN vs BB | FLCN 60% | FLCN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | NGX vs TSpirit | TSpirit 50% | NGX | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | Liquid vs Aurora | Aurora 53% | Aurora | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | IW vs TY | IW 51% | IW | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | Liquid vs Aurora | Liquid 52% | Aurora | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | FLCN vs BB | FLCN 67% | BB | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | Aurora vs Liquid | Liquid 52% | Aurora | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | TY vs IW | IW 51% | IW | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | BB vs FLCN | BB 58% | FLCN | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | FLCN vs BB | FLCN 60% | FLCN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | LGD vs VG | LGD 66% | LGD | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | XG vs Resilience | Resilience 68% | Resilience | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | OG vs GL | GL 67% | GL | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Resilience vs XG | Resilience 76% | Resilience | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | VG vs LGD | LGD 67% | LGD | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | GL vs OG | GL 67% | GL | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Resilience vs XG | Resilience 66% | Resilience | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Liquid vs IW | Liquid 55% | Liquid | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Aurora vs BB | Aurora 61% | Aurora | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | VSN vs TSpirit | VSN 52% | VSN | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | BB vs Aurora | BB 62% | Aurora | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | BB vs Aurora | BB 68% | Aurora | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | TSpirit vs VSN | VSN 52% | VSN | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | BB vs Aurora | BB 51% | Aurora | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | Liquid vs IW | Liquid 57% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | VG vs NGX | NGX 63% | NGX | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | FLCN vs GL | FLCN 51% | FLCN | coin-flip |