Oracle
Conservative: Elo HQ dampened when streaks disagree.
All-time accuracy
63.8%
157 / 246 settled
Last 50
52.0%
sliding window
Last 10
50.0%
most recent
Brier score
0.235
lower = better (0.25 = coin flip)
Log-loss
0.664
lower = better
Simulated bankroll
If you'd staked $10 on every prediction at fair odds (1/probability, no bookie vig), your P&L would be +$697.92 across 362 bets. ROI = +19.28%.
Calibration by confidence
When the model says 80%, is it actually right 80% of the time? Well-calibrated models have accuracy that matches confidence range.
| Confidence range | Picks | Accuracy | Calibration |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60% | 198 | 61.6% (122/198) | |
| 60–70% | 48 | 72.9% (35/48) | |
| 70–80% | 0 | — | |
| 80–90% | 0 | — | |
| 90–101% | 0 | — |
Upcoming picks
| When | Match | This model picks | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| IW vs TSpirit | TSpirit 51% | 0.77 | |
| VSN vs BB | VSN 60% | 0.14 | |
| Liquid vs TY | TY 52% | 0.96 | |
| NGX vs FLCN | NGX 55% | 0.96 | |
| Resilience vs GL | Resilience 58% | 0.63 | |
| OG vs XG | OG 55% | 0.96 | |
| Nova Pulse vs LSG | Nova Pulse 53% | 0.96 | |
| Resilience vs GL | Resilience 58% | 0.63 | |
| OG vs XG | OG 55% | 0.96 |
Recent picks (60)
| When | Match | Pick | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17 | IW vs TSpirit | TSpirit 51% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | VSN vs BB | VSN 60% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | Liquid vs TY | TY 52% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | NGX vs FLCN | NGX 55% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | Resilience vs GL | Resilience 58% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | OG vs XG | OG 55% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | Nova Pulse vs LSG | Nova Pulse 53% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | Resilience vs GL | Resilience 58% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | OG vs XG | OG 55% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | Vitality Wa… vs FLYING FORT… | Vitality Warriors 56% | pending | — |
| Aug 16 | LGD vs TY | TY 60% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | LGD vs TY | TY 58% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | TY vs LGD | TY 58% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | TSpirit vs Resilience | Resilience 51% | TSpirit | coin-flip |
| Aug 16 | IW vs GL | IW 54% | IW | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | LGD vs TY | TY 56% | LGD | ✗ miss |
| Aug 16 | GL vs IW | GL 52% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 16 | Resilience vs TSpirit | TSpirit 51% | TSpirit | coin-flip |
| Aug 16 | FLCN vs VG | FLCN 58% | FLCN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | Aurora vs BB | Aurora 52% | BB | ✗ miss |
| Aug 16 | GL vs IW | GL 56% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 16 | Resilience vs TSpirit | TSpirit 55% | Resilience | ✗ miss |
| Aug 16 | Aurora vs BB | Aurora 51% | BB | coin-flip |
| Aug 16 | TSpirit vs Resilience | TSpirit 53% | TSpirit | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | FLCN vs VG | FLCN 57% | FLCN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | BB vs Aurora | BB 51% | BB | coin-flip |
| Aug 16 | VG vs FLCN | FLCN 51% | FLCN | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | TY vs IW | TY 64% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | Aurora vs Liquid | Aurora 51% | Liquid | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | NGX vs TSpirit | NGX 58% | NGX | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | NGX vs TSpirit | NGX 56% | NGX | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Resilience vs GL | Resilience 57% | pending | — |
| Aug 15 | OG vs XG | OG 55% | pending | — |
| Aug 15 | FLCN vs BB | BB 51% | FLCN | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | NGX vs TSpirit | NGX 56% | NGX | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Liquid vs Aurora | Liquid 50% | Aurora | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | IW vs TY | TY 63% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | Liquid vs Aurora | Liquid 54% | Aurora | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | FLCN vs BB | FLCN 53% | BB | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | Aurora vs Liquid | Aurora 50% | Aurora | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | TY vs IW | TY 66% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | BB vs FLCN | BB 53% | FLCN | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | FLCN vs BB | FLCN 52% | FLCN | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | LGD vs VG | LGD 51% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | XG vs Resilience | Resilience 53% | Resilience | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | OG vs GL | OG 53% | GL | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | Resilience vs XG | Resilience 61% | Resilience | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | VG vs LGD | VG 54% | LGD | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | GL vs OG | GL 51% | GL | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | Resilience vs XG | Resilience 52% | Resilience | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Liquid vs IW | Liquid 62% | Liquid | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Aurora vs BB | Aurora 53% | Aurora | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | VSN vs TSpirit | VSN 58% | VSN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | BB vs Aurora | BB 51% | Aurora | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | BB vs Aurora | BB 54% | Aurora | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | TSpirit vs VSN | VSN 53% | VSN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | BB vs Aurora | BB 53% | Aurora | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | Liquid vs IW | Liquid 62% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | VG vs NGX | VG 51% | NGX | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | FLCN vs GL | FLCN 52% | FLCN | ✓ HIT |