Nexus
META: 3-way consensus of Apex + Oracle + Eagle with avg confidence >55%.
All-time accuracy
66.1%
146 / 221 settled
Last 50
48.0%
sliding window
Last 10
70.0%
most recent
Brier score
0.227
lower = better (0.25 = coin flip)
Log-loss
0.646
lower = better
Simulated bankroll
If you'd staked $10 on every prediction at fair odds (1/probability, no bookie vig), your P&L would be +$601.83 across 365 bets. ROI = +16.49%.
Calibration by confidence
When the model says 80%, is it actually right 80% of the time? Well-calibrated models have accuracy that matches confidence range.
| Confidence range | Picks | Accuracy | Calibration |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60% | 121 | 61.2% (74/121) | |
| 60–70% | 95 | 72.6% (69/95) | |
| 70–80% | 5 | 60.0% (3/5) | |
| 80–90% | 0 | — | |
| 90–101% | 0 | — |
Upcoming picks
| When | Match | This model picks | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1win Team vs TSpirit | TSpirit 58% | 0.01 | |
| VSN vs BB | VSN 58% | 0.28 | |
| Liquid vs TY | TY 55% | 0.97 | |
| Resilience vs GL | Resilience 61% | 0.71 | |
| Resilience vs GL | Resilience 61% | 0.71 |
Recent picks (60)
| When | Match | Pick | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17 | 1win Team vs TSpirit | TSpirit 58% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | VSN vs BB | VSN 58% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | Liquid vs TY | TY 55% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | Resilience vs GL | Resilience 61% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | Resilience vs GL | Resilience 61% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | Vitality Wa… vs FLYING FORT… | Vitality Warriors 58% | pending | — |
| Aug 16 | LGD vs TY | TY 58% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | LGD vs TY | TY 56% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | TY vs LGD | TY 56% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | IW vs GL | IW 56% | IW | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | FLCN vs VG | FLCN 63% | FLCN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | Aurora vs BetBoom Team | Aurora 65% | pending | — |
| Aug 16 | GL vs IW | GL 55% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 16 | FLCN vs VG | FLCN 61% | FLCN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | VG vs FLCN | FLCN 56% | FLCN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | TY vs IW | TY 62% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | Aurora vs Liquid | Aurora 55% | Liquid | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | NGX vs TSpirit | NGX 60% | NGX | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | NGX vs TSpirit | NGX 56% | NGX | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Resilience vs GL | Resilience 60% | pending | — |
| Aug 15 | NGX vs TSpirit | NGX 56% | NGX | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | IW vs TY | TY 64% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | FLCN vs BB | FLCN 55% | BB | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | TY vs IW | TY 67% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | BB vs FLCN | BB 59% | FLCN | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | Resilience vs XG | Resilience 61% | Resilience | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | PARIVISION vs TSpirit | TSpirit 59% | pending | — |
| Aug 15 | 1win Team vs Liquid | Liquid 62% | pending | — |
| Aug 15 | BetBoom Team vs Aurora | Aurora 59% | pending | — |
| Aug 15 | Liquid vs IW | Liquid 62% | Liquid | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Aurora vs BB | Aurora 56% | Aurora | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | VSN vs TSpirit | VSN 57% | VSN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | BB vs Aurora | BB 56% | Aurora | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | BB vs Aurora | BB 60% | Aurora | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | OG vs L1 | OG 58% | pending | — |
| Aug 15 | Liquid vs IW | Liquid 63% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | VSN vs TSpirit | VSN 57% | VSN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Liquid vs IW | Liquid 59% | Liquid | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | TY vs Resilience | TY 58% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | NGX vs VG | NGX 57% | NGX | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | HU vs OG | OG 57% | HU | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | FLCN vs GL | FLCN 57% | GL | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | FLCN vs GL | FLCN 56% | FLCN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Resilience vs TY | TY 56% | Resilience | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | LGD vs XG | LGD 58% | XG | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | LGD vs XG | LGD 58% | XG | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | Resilience vs TY | TY 59% | Resilience | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | Aurora vs TY | TY 67% | Aurora | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | TY vs Aurora | TY 64% | Aurora | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | Aurora vs TY | TY 66% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 14 | Aurora vs TY | TY 63% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 14 | TY vs Aurora | TY 67% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 14 | Liquid vs TSpirit | Liquid 57% | TSpirit | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | 1win Team vs FLCN | FLCN 57% | pending | — |
| Aug 14 | IW vs FLCN | FLCN 56% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | XG vs HU | HU 56% | XG | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | Liquid vs TSpirit | Liquid 55% | TSpirit | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | Resilience vs OG | Resilience 62% | Resilience | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 14 | IW vs FLCN | FLCN 58% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | Resilience vs OG | Resilience 59% | Resilience | ✓ HIT |