Meta Strength
Team's recent hero pool weighted by current meta winrates.
All-time accuracy
52.7%
135 / 256 settled
Last 50
54.0%
sliding window
Last 10
40.0%
most recent
Brier score
0.247
lower = better (0.25 = coin flip)
Log-loss
0.686
lower = better
Simulated bankroll
If you'd staked $10 on every prediction at fair odds (1/probability, no bookie vig), your P&L would be $-102.81 across 366 bets. ROI = -2.81%.
Calibration by confidence
When the model says 80%, is it actually right 80% of the time? Well-calibrated models have accuracy that matches confidence range.
| Confidence range | Picks | Accuracy | Calibration |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60% | 208 | 50.0% (104/208) | |
| 60–70% | 44 | 63.6% (28/44) | |
| 70–80% | 4 | 75.0% (3/4) | |
| 80–90% | 0 | — | |
| 90–101% | 0 | — |
Upcoming picks
| When | Match | This model picks | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| IW vs TSpirit | IW 52% | 1.00 | |
| VSN vs BB | VSN 62% | 1.00 | |
| Liquid vs TY | Liquid 56% | 1.00 | |
| NGX vs FLCN | NGX 53% | 1.00 | |
| Resilience vs GL | GL 55% | 1.00 | |
| OG vs XG | XG 53% | 1.00 | |
| Nova Pulse vs LSG | Nova Pulse 58% | 1.00 | |
| Resilience vs GL | GL 55% | 1.00 | |
| OG vs XG | XG 53% | 1.00 |
Recent picks (60)
| When | Match | Pick | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17 | IW vs TSpirit | IW 52% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | VSN vs BB | VSN 62% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | Liquid vs TY | Liquid 56% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | NGX vs FLCN | NGX 53% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | Resilience vs GL | GL 55% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | OG vs XG | XG 53% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | Nova Pulse vs LSG | Nova Pulse 58% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | Resilience vs GL | GL 55% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | OG vs XG | XG 53% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | Vitality Wa… vs FLYING FORT… | Vitality Warriors 70% | pending | — |
| Aug 16 | LGD vs TY | LGD 51% | TY | coin-flip |
| Aug 16 | LGD vs TY | LGD 53% | TY | ✗ miss |
| Aug 16 | TY vs LGD | LGD 53% | TY | ✗ miss |
| Aug 16 | TSpirit vs Resilience | TSpirit 51% | TSpirit | coin-flip |
| Aug 16 | IW vs GL | GL 50% | IW | coin-flip |
| Aug 16 | LGD vs TY | TY 57% | LGD | ✗ miss |
| Aug 16 | GL vs IW | IW 51% | IW | coin-flip |
| Aug 16 | Resilience vs TSpirit | Resilience 58% | TSpirit | ✗ miss |
| Aug 16 | FLCN vs VG | FLCN 60% | FLCN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | Aurora vs BB | BB 51% | BB | coin-flip |
| Aug 16 | GL vs IW | IW 53% | IW | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | Resilience vs TSpirit | Resilience 58% | Resilience | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | Aurora vs BB | Aurora 59% | BB | ✗ miss |
| Aug 16 | TSpirit vs Resilience | Resilience 57% | TSpirit | ✗ miss |
| Aug 16 | FLCN vs VG | FLCN 60% | FLCN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | BB vs Aurora | Aurora 59% | BB | ✗ miss |
| Aug 16 | VG vs FLCN | FLCN 53% | FLCN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | TY vs IW | TY 56% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | Aurora vs Liquid | Aurora 54% | Liquid | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | NGX vs TSpirit | NGX 64% | NGX | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | NGX vs TSpirit | NGX 64% | NGX | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Resilience vs GL | GL 54% | pending | — |
| Aug 15 | OG vs XG | XG 53% | pending | — |
| Aug 15 | FLCN vs BB | FLCN 57% | FLCN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | NGX vs TSpirit | NGX 64% | NGX | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Liquid vs Aurora | Aurora 50% | Aurora | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | IW vs TY | TY 60% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | Liquid vs Aurora | Aurora 50% | Aurora | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | FLCN vs BB | FLCN 58% | BB | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | Aurora vs Liquid | Aurora 50% | Aurora | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | TY vs IW | TY 60% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | BB vs FLCN | FLCN 52% | FLCN | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | FLCN vs BB | FLCN 58% | FLCN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | LGD vs VG | VG 55% | LGD | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | XG vs Resilience | Resilience 55% | Resilience | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | OG vs GL | GL 51% | GL | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | Resilience vs XG | Resilience 50% | Resilience | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | VG vs LGD | VG 55% | LGD | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | GL vs OG | GL 52% | GL | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Resilience vs XG | Resilience 54% | Resilience | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Liquid vs IW | Liquid 62% | Liquid | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Aurora vs BB | Aurora 55% | Aurora | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | VSN vs TSpirit | VSN 64% | VSN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | BB vs Aurora | Aurora 51% | Aurora | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | BB vs Aurora | Aurora 51% | Aurora | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | TSpirit vs VSN | VSN 65% | VSN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | BB vs Aurora | Aurora 55% | Aurora | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Liquid vs IW | Liquid 65% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | VG vs NGX | NGX 58% | NGX | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | FLCN vs GL | FLCN 52% | FLCN | coin-flip |