Form
Pure win-rate over last 10 matches.
All-time accuracy
56.9%
165 / 290 settled
Last 50
50.0%
sliding window
Last 10
50.0%
most recent
Brier score
0.241
lower = better (0.25 = coin flip)
Log-loss
0.675
lower = better
Simulated bankroll
If you'd staked $10 on every prediction at fair odds (1/probability, no bookie vig), your P&L would be +$219.95 across 460 bets. ROI = +4.78%.
Calibration by confidence
When the model says 80%, is it actually right 80% of the time? Well-calibrated models have accuracy that matches confidence range.
| Confidence range | Picks | Accuracy | Calibration |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60% | 136 | 51.5% (70/136) | |
| 60–70% | 106 | 60.4% (64/106) | |
| 70–80% | 39 | 64.1% (25/39) | |
| 80–90% | 9 | 66.7% (6/9) | |
| 90–101% | 0 | — |
Upcoming picks
| When | Match | This model picks | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| IW vs TSpirit | IW 67% | 1.00 | |
| VSN vs BB | VSN 53% | 1.00 | |
| Liquid vs TY | TY 54% | 1.00 | |
| NGX vs FLCN | NGX 55% | 1.00 | |
| Resilience vs GL | Resilience 64% | 1.00 | |
| OG vs XG | XG 56% | 1.00 | |
| Nova Pulse vs LSG | Nova Pulse 50% | 1.00 | |
| Resilience vs GL | Resilience 64% | 1.00 | |
| OG vs XG | XG 56% | 1.00 |
Recent picks (60)
| When | Match | Pick | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17 | Vitality Wa… vs FLYING FORT… | Vitality Warriors 67% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | IW vs TSpirit | IW 67% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | VSN vs BB | VSN 53% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | Liquid vs TY | TY 54% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | NGX vs FLCN | NGX 55% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | Resilience vs GL | Resilience 64% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | OG vs XG | XG 56% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | Nova Pulse vs LSG | Nova Pulse 50% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | Resilience vs GL | Resilience 64% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | OG vs XG | XG 56% | pending | — |
| Aug 16 | LGD vs TY | LGD 54% | TY | ✗ miss |
| Aug 16 | LGD vs TY | LGD 58% | TY | ✗ miss |
| Aug 16 | TY vs LGD | LGD 64% | TY | ✗ miss |
| Aug 16 | TSpirit vs Resilience | Resilience 77% | TSpirit | ✗ miss |
| Aug 16 | IW vs GL | IW 62% | IW | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | LGD vs TY | LGD 64% | LGD | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | GL vs IW | IW 58% | IW | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | Resilience vs TSpirit | Resilience 70% | TSpirit | ✗ miss |
| Aug 16 | FLCN vs VG | FLCN 75% | FLCN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | Aurora vs BB | BB 53% | BB | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | GL vs IW | IW 54% | IW | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | Resilience vs TSpirit | Resilience 67% | Resilience | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | Aurora vs BB | Aurora 67% | BB | ✗ miss |
| Aug 16 | TSpirit vs Resilience | Resilience 70% | TSpirit | ✗ miss |
| Aug 16 | FLCN vs VG | FLCN 73% | FLCN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | BB vs Aurora | Aurora 69% | BB | ✗ miss |
| Aug 16 | VG vs FLCN | FLCN 73% | FLCN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | TY vs IW | IW 64% | IW | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Aurora vs Liquid | Aurora 67% | Liquid | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | NGX vs TSpirit | NGX 64% | NGX | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | NGX vs TSpirit | NGX 50% | NGX | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | Resilience vs GL | Resilience 63% | pending | — |
| Aug 15 | OG vs XG | XG 56% | pending | — |
| Aug 15 | FLCN vs BB | FLCN 58% | FLCN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | NGX vs TSpirit | NGX 50% | NGX | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | Liquid vs Aurora | Aurora 63% | Aurora | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | IW vs TY | IW 50% | IW | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | Liquid vs Aurora | Aurora 57% | Aurora | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | FLCN vs BB | FLCN 58% | BB | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | Aurora vs Liquid | Aurora 57% | Aurora | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | TY vs IW | TY 50% | IW | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | BB vs FLCN | BB 64% | FLCN | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | FLCN vs BB | FLCN 50% | FLCN | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | LGD vs VG | LGD 50% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | XG vs Resilience | Resilience 55% | Resilience | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | OG vs GL | GL 60% | GL | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Resilience vs XG | Resilience 64% | Resilience | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | VG vs LGD | VG 50% | LGD | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | GL vs OG | GL 60% | GL | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Resilience vs XG | Resilience 55% | Resilience | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Liquid vs IW | Liquid 50% | Liquid | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | Aurora vs BB | Aurora 58% | Aurora | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | VSN vs TSpirit | TSpirit 56% | VSN | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | BB vs Aurora | BB 62% | Aurora | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | BB vs Aurora | BB 68% | Aurora | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | TSpirit vs VSN | TSpirit 56% | VSN | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | BB vs Aurora | BB 55% | Aurora | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | Liquid vs IW | Liquid 50% | IW | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | VG vs NGX | NGX 55% | NGX | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | FLCN vs GL | GL 58% | FLCN | ✗ miss |