Consensus
META: triggers when ≥75% of base models converge on same side.
All-time accuracy
63.9%
117 / 183 settled
Last 50
56.0%
sliding window
Last 10
70.0%
most recent
Brier score
0.228
lower = better (0.25 = coin flip)
Log-loss
0.648
lower = better
Simulated bankroll
If you'd staked $10 on every prediction at fair odds (1/probability, no bookie vig), your P&L would be +$370.61 across 286 bets. ROI = +12.96%.
Calibration by confidence
When the model says 80%, is it actually right 80% of the time? Well-calibrated models have accuracy that matches confidence range.
| Confidence range | Picks | Accuracy | Calibration |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60% | 92 | 59.8% (55/92) | |
| 60–70% | 80 | 65.0% (52/80) | |
| 70–80% | 11 | 90.9% (10/11) | |
| 80–90% | 0 | — | |
| 90–101% | 0 | — |
Upcoming picks
| When | Match | This model picks | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| VSN vs BB | VSN 58% | 0.80 | |
| Liquid vs TY | TY 55% | 0.80 | |
| NGX vs FLCN | NGX 53% | 0.80 | |
| Resilience vs GL | Resilience 66% | 0.80 | |
| Resilience vs GL | Resilience 66% | 0.80 |
Recent picks (60)
| When | Match | Pick | Outcome | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17 | VSN vs BB | VSN 58% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | Liquid vs TY | TY 55% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | NGX vs FLCN | NGX 53% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | Resilience vs GL | Resilience 66% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | Resilience vs GL | Resilience 66% | pending | — |
| Aug 17 | Vitality Wa… vs FLYING FORT… | Vitality Warriors 60% | pending | — |
| Aug 16 | IW vs GL | IW 61% | IW | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | FLCN vs VG | FLCN 66% | FLCN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 16 | FLCN vs VG | FLCN 64% | FLCN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Aurora vs Liquid | Aurora 55% | Liquid | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | NGX vs TSpirit | NGX 60% | NGX | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Resilience vs GL | Resilience 64% | pending | — |
| Aug 15 | IW vs TY | TY 63% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | BB vs FLCN | BB 57% | FLCN | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | XG vs Resilience | Resilience 57% | Resilience | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Resilience vs XG | Resilience 64% | Resilience | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Resilience vs XG | Resilience 56% | Resilience | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Liquid vs IW | Liquid 61% | Liquid | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | VSN vs TSpirit | VSN 55% | VSN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | BB vs Aurora | BB 57% | Aurora | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | BB vs Aurora | BB 61% | Aurora | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | TSpirit vs VSN | VSN 53% | VSN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | BB vs Aurora | BB 51% | Aurora | coin-flip |
| Aug 15 | Liquid vs IW | Liquid 61% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | FLCN vs GL | FLCN 60% | FLCN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | LGD vs XG | LGD 57% | LGD | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | VSN vs TSpirit | VSN 55% | VSN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | Liquid vs IW | Liquid 59% | Liquid | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | TY vs Resilience | TY 62% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | NGX vs VG | NGX 62% | NGX | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | TY vs Resilience | TY 57% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 15 | FLCN vs GL | FLCN 63% | GL | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | LGD vs XG | LGD 59% | XG | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | LGD vs XG | LGD 59% | XG | ✗ miss |
| Aug 15 | Resilience vs TY | TY 62% | Resilience | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | TY vs Aurora | TY 66% | Aurora | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | Aurora vs TY | TY 67% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 14 | Aurora vs TY | TY 63% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 14 | TY vs Aurora | TY 66% | TY | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 14 | XG vs HU | HU 56% | XG | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | Liquid vs TSpirit | Liquid 54% | TSpirit | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | Resilience vs OG | Resilience 62% | Resilience | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 14 | IW vs FLCN | FLCN 57% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | Aurora vs TY | TY 63% | Aurora | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 14 | XG vs HU | HU 57% | XG | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | XG vs HU | HU 57% | pending | — |
| Aug 14 | IW vs FLCN | FLCN 59% | IW | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | VSN vs BB | VSN 60% | VSN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 14 | Vitality Wa… vs DARKNESS GA… | DARKNESS GAMING 54% | pending | — |
| Aug 14 | Liquid vs TY | TY 54% | Liquid | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | LGD vs NGX | LGD 57% | NGX | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | LGD vs NGX | LGD 58% | NGX | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | Liquid vs TY | TY 59% | Liquid | ✗ miss |
| Aug 14 | Aurora vs TSpirit | TSpirit 56% | TSpirit | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 14 | TSpirit vs Aurora | TSpirit 54% | TSpirit | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 14 | TSpirit vs Aurora | TSpirit 54% | TSpirit | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 13 | LGD vs Resilience | LGD 57% | LGD | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 13 | VSN vs FLCN | VSN 56% | VSN | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 13 | BB vs IW | BB 64% | BB | ✓ HIT |
| Aug 13 | VSN vs FLCN | VSN 57% | FLCN | ✗ miss |